Costs of Farmland Fragmentation: Evidence from Farmland Transactions in Eastern Germany

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52825/gjae.v74i.2537

Keywords:

Fragmentation, Land Market, Farmland Pricing, Matching, Hedonic Model

Abstract

Farmland fragmentation in use is related to higher operation cost and reduced productivity, while ownership fragmentation increases transaction costs, both leading to inefficient land use and diminished overall farm performance. This paper aims to quantify the costs of farmland ownership fragmentation using a market-based approach. We hypothesize that buyers and sellers in the farmland market have a lower valuation and demand for spatially separated farmland. To test this hypothesis, we analyze a rich dataset of 24,528 arable land transactions from the eastern German Federal State of Brandenburg from 2000 to 2022 that includes information on whether the traded land was spatially fragmented. Using a doubly robust approach combining matching and regression, we find that package transactions of spatially separated parcels achieve on average 6.7% lower prices than transactions of single parcels with the same size and comparable characteristics. The quantified markdown for packages suggests that market participants associate costs with fragmentation and consider these into their valuation for farmland.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abadie, A., Athey, S., Imbens, G.W., Wooldridge, J.M. (2023): When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering? The Quarterly Journal of Economics 138 (1): 1-35. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac038.

Appel, F., Balmann, A. (2023): Predator or prey? Effects of farm growth on neighbouring farms. Journal of Agricultural Economics 74 (1): 214-236. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12503.

Athey, S., Imbens, G.W. (2016): Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113 (27): 7353-7360. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1510489113.

Balmann, A., Graubner, M., Müller, D., Hüttel, S., Seifert, S., Odening, M. et al. (2021): Mar-ket Power in Agricultural Land Markets: Concepts and Empirical Challenges. German Journal of Agricultural Economics 70 (4): 213-235. https://doi.org/10.30430/gjae.2021.0117.

BBSR (Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt-, und Raumforschung) (2019): Laufende Stadtbeobach-tung - Raumabgrenzungen (Urban Monitoring - Spatial Denomination of Metropolitan Areas). Hg. v. Federal Institute for Research on Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Devel-opment, Bonn. https://www.bbsr.bund.de/.

BNetzA (Bundesnetzagentur) (2022): Marktstammdatenregister – Öffentliche Einheitenüber-sicht (Core energy market data register of the Bundesnetzagentur). Bonn. http:/www.marktstammdatenregister.de.

Brorsen, B. W., Doye, D., Neal, K.B. (2015): Agricultural Land and the Small Parcel Size Premium Puzzle. Land Economics 91 (3): 572-585. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.91.3.572.

Buchanan, J.M., Yoon, Yong, J. (2000): Symmetric Tragedies: Commons and Anticommons. The Journal of Law and Economics 43 (1): 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1086/467445.

BVVG (Bodenverwertungs- und verwaltungs GmbH) (2023): Zahlen und Fakten 2023 (Facts and figures 2023). https://www.bvvg.de/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Zahlen_und_Fakten_2023.pdf.

Chernozhukov, V., Chetverikov, D., Demirer, M., Duflo, E., Hansen, C., Newey, W., Robins, J. (2018): Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters. The Econometrics Journal 21 (1): C1-C68. https://doi.org/10.1111/ectj.12097.

Cramton, P.C., Shoham, Y., Steinberg, R. (2010): Combinatorial auctions. 1st MIT Press pa-perback ed. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass., London.

Cuadros-Casanova, I., Cristiano, A., Biancolini, D., Cimatti, M., Sessa, A.A., Mendez Angari-ta, V.Y. et al. (2023): Opportunities and challenges for Common Agricultural Policy reform to support the European Green Deal. Conservation biology: the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology 37 (3): e14052. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14052.

Curtiss, J., Jelínek, L., Medonos, T., Hruška, M., Hüttel, S. (2021): Investors’ impact on Czech farmland prices: a microstructural analysis. European Review of Agricultural Eco-nomics 48 (1): 97-157. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbaa029.

Delbecq, B.A., Kuethe, T.H., Borchers, A.M. (2014): Identifying the Extent of the Urban Fringe and Its Impact on Agricultural Land Values. Land Economics 90 (4): 587-600. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.90.4.587.

Destatis (Statistisches Bundesamt) (2022): VGR des Bundes - Deflatoren: Deutschland, Jah-re, Verwendung des Bruttoinlandsprodukts. Wiesbaden. http://www.destatis.de.

DWD (Deutscher Wetterdienst) (2022a): Annual grids of drought index (de Martonne) over Germany. Offenbach, https://dwd-geoportal.de/products/GRD_DEU_P1M_DI-M/,

accessed 11.11.2022.

DWD (2022b): Multi-annual grids of precipitation height over Germany 1981-2022. Offen-bach.

Eurostat (2024): Agriculture, fisheries, and forestry: Agriculture - Farm tenure. European Un-ion. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Farm_tenure#Data_sources.

Gatterer, M., Leonhardt, H., Salhofer, K., Morawetz, U. (2024): The legacy of partible inher-itance on farmland fragmentation: Evidence from Austria. Land Use Policy 140: 107110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107110.

Graubner, M. (2018): Lost in space? The effect of direct payments on land rental prices. Eu-ropean Review of Agricultural Economics 45 (2): 143-171. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbx027.

Graubner, M., Hüttel, S. (2024): Rental and sale prices of agricultural lands under spatial competition. Letters in Spatial and Resource Science 17 (32): 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12076-024-00396-6.

Haan, P., Simmler, M. (2018): Wind electricity subsidies - A windfall for landowners? Evi-dence from a feed-in tariff in Germany. Journal of Public Economics 159: 16-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2018.01.011.

Hainbach, T., Hüttel, S., Werwatz, A. (2024): What Moves Farmland Markets: Decomposing the Price Surge in Eastern Germany. European Review of Agricultural Economics 51 (4): 967-1011. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbae029.

Hart, T., Zandbergen, P. (2014): Kernel density estimation and hotspot mapping. Policing: An International Journal of Police Strategies & Management 37 (2): 305-323. https://doi.org/10.1108/PIJPSM-04-2013-0039.

Hartvigsen, M. (2014): Land Reform and Land Fragmentation in Central and Eastern Europe. Land Use Policy 36: 330-341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2013.08.016.

Hennig, S., Latacz-Lohmann, U. (2017): The incidence of biogas feed-in tariffs on farmland rental rates - evidence from northern Germany. European Review of Agricultural Econom-ics 44 (2): 2231-2254. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbw023.

Ho, D.E., Imai, K., King, G., Stuart, E.A. (2007): Matching as nonparametric preprocessing for reducing model dependence in parametric causal inference. Political Analysis 15 (3): 199-236. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpl013.

Ho, D.E., Imai, K., King, G., Stuart, E.A. (2011): MatchIt: Nonparametric preprocessing for parametric causal inference. Journal of Statistical Software 42 (8): 1-28. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v042.i08.

Humpesch, M., Seifert, S., Balmann, A., Hüttel, S. (2023): How does tenancy affect farmland prices? Effects of lease status, lease term and buyer type. Agricultural Finance Review 83 (2): 242-263. https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-03-2022-0038.

Isenhardt, L., Seifert, S., Hüttel, S. (2023): Tenant Favoritism and Right of First Refusals in Farmland Auctions: Competition and Price Effects. Land Economics 99 (2): 302-324. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.080721-0091R1.

Jänicke, C., Müller, D. (2025): Revealing agricultural land ownership concentration with ca-dastral and company network data. Agriculture and Human Values 42: 159-175. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10460-024-10590-3.

King, G., Nielsen, R. (2019): Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching. Polit-ical Analysis 27 (4): 435-454. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2019.11.

Latruffe, L., Piet, L. (2014): Does land fragmentation affect farm performance? A case study from Brittany, France. Agricultural Systems 129: 68-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2014.05.005.

Levin, J., Skrzypacz, A. (2016): Properties of the Combinatorial Clock Auction. The American Economic Review 106 (9): 2528-2551. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20141212.

LfU (Landesamt für Umwelt Brandenburg) (2022): Tierhaltungsanlagen nach BImSchG im Land Brandenburg. https://registry.gdi-de.org/id/de.bb.metadata/5b98270b-4280-48e3-bf93-744a07a263b0, accessed at 25.07.2022.

MacKinnon, J.G.; Nielsen, M.Ø., Webb, M.D. (2023): Testing for the appropriate level of clus-tering in linear regression models. Journal of Econometrics 235 (2): 2027-2056. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.03.005.

Michels, M., Hobe, C.‐F. von, Merk, M.S., Kneib, T., Musshoff, O. (2024): Analyzing individu-al rent price ratios in eastern German agricultural land markets: A GAMLSS approach. Ag-ribusiness, Artikel agr.21976. https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.21976.

Milgrom, P. (Hg.) (2012): Putting Auction Theory to Work. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

MLUL BB (Ministerium für Landwirtschaft, Umwelt und Klimaschutz des Landes Branden-burg) (2023): Agrarbericht des Ministeriums für Landwirtschaft, Umwelt und Klimaschutz des Landes Brandenburg. Brandenburg Ministry for Rural Development, Environment and Agriculture. Potsdam. https://agrarbericht.brandenburg.de, accessed at 09.03.2023.

Nickerson, C.J., Zhang, W. (2014): Modeling the Determinants of Farmland Values in the United States. In: Duke, J.M., Wu, J. (Hg.): The Oxford Handbook of Land Economics. Oxford University Press, New York: 111-138.

Ortiz‐Bobea, A. (2020): The Role of Nonfarm Influences in Ricardian Estimates of Climate Change Impacts on US Agriculture. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 102 (3): 934-959. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aaz047.

Pennerstorfer, D. (2022): Farm exits and competition on the land market: Evidence from spa-tially explicit data. Economics working papers, 2022-09. Department of Economics (Ed.), Johannes Kepler University Linz.

Piet, L., Melot, R., Diop, S. (2021): What drives competition on the farmland market? A case study in Brittany (France). European Review of Agricultural Economics 48 (1): 60-96. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbaa019.

Ptacek, M., Frick, F., Pahl, H., Stetter, C., Wimmer, S., Sauer, J. (2024): ‘ShapeCostTUM’: A calculation tool for field geometry dependent cultivation and transport costs. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 225: 109254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2024.109254.

Ritter, M., Hüttel, S., Odening, M., Seifert, S. (2020): Revisiting the relationship between land price and parcel size in agriculture. Land Use Policy 97: 104771. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104771.

Rönnqvist, M., Frisk, M., Flisberg, P., Casimir, J., Engström, J., Hansson, E., Kihlstedt, A. (2023): Collaboration and optimization in farmland exchanges. International Transactions in Operational Research 30 (4): 1591-1616. https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.13145.

Rosen, S. (1974): Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Com-petition. Journal of Political Economy 82 (1): 34-55. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1830899.

Rousseeuw, P.J., van Driessen, K. (1999): A fast algorithm for the minimum covariance de-terminant estimator. Technometrics 41 (3): 212-223. https://doi.org/10.2307/1270566.

Rubin, D.B. (1980): Bias Reduction Using Mahalanobis-Metric Matching. Biometrics 36 (2): 293-298. https://doi.org/10.2307/2529981.

Schaak, H., Meissner, L., Musshoff, O. (2023): New insights on regional differences of the farmland price structure: An extended replication study on the parcel size-price relation-ship. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 45 (3): 1255-1775. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13366.

Schmidt, L., Odening, M., Ritter, M. (2024): Do non-farmers pay more for land than farmers? European Review of Agricultural Economics 51 (4): 1094-1128. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbae023.

Schmitz, T., Müller, D. (2020): Digitale Karte der Bodenwertzahlen für Brandenburg. FOR-Land Technical Paper Series 01. https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.308812.

Seifert, S., Hüttel, S. (2023): Is there a risk of a winner's curse in farmland auctions? Europe-an Review of Agricultural Economics 50 (3): 1140-1177. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbad002.

Seifert, S., Hüttel, S., Werwatz, A. (2025): Organic cultivation and farmland prices: Does cer-tification matter? European Review of Agricultural Economics, Artikel jbaf026. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbaf026.

Seifert, S., Kahle, C., Hüttel, S. (2021): Price Dispersion in Farmland Markets: What Is the Role of Asymmetric Information? American Journal of Agricultural Economics 103 (4): 1545-1568. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12153.

Sklenicka, P. (2016): Classification of farmland ownership fragmentation as a cause of land degradation: A review on typology, consequences, and remedies. Land Use Policy 57: 694-701. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.06.032.

Sklenicka, P., Janovska, V., Salek, M., Vlasak, J., Molnarova, K. (2014): The Farmland Rental Paradox: Extreme land ownership fragmentation as a new form of land degrada-tion. Land Use Policy 38: 587-593. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.01.006.

Stuart, E.A. (2010): Matching methods for causal inference: A review and a look forward. Statistical Science 25 (1): 1-21. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-STS313.

Valtiala, J., Niskanen, O., Torvinen, M., Riekkinen, K., Suokannas, A. (2023): The relationship between agricultural land parcel size and cultivation costs. Land Use Policy 131: 106728. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106728.

Veršinskas, T., Vidar, M., Hartvigsen, M., Mitic Arsova, K., van Holst, F., Gorgan, M. (2020): Legal guide on land consolidation: Based on regulatory practices in Europe. (FAO Legal Guide, 3). https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/6af8f082-7482-4c1c-b6c4-f21ba0d735dd/content.

Veršinskas, T., Vidar, M., Hartvigsen, M., Mitic-Arsova, K., van Holst, F., Gorgan, M. (2021): Land consolidation. FAO (Legal Brief, 1.). https://openknowledge.fao.org/items/3f5b5edf-b7d9-4ac1-90ba-754fe8301a44.

Vranken, L., Roebeling, P., Tabeau, E., Ciaian, P. with contributions from country experts (2021): Agricultural land market regulations in the EU Member States. (EUR 30838 EN) Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.

Wand, M.P., Jones, M.C. (1994): Multivariate plug-in bandwidth selection. Computational Sta-tistics 9 (97-116).

Wesemeyer, M., Kamp, J., Schmitz, T., Müller, D., Lakes, T. (2023): Multi-objective spatial optimization to balance trade-offs between farmland bird diversity and potential agricultural net returns. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 345: 108316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2022.108316.

Wilson, G.A., Wilson, O.J. (2001): German Agriculture in Transition. Society, Policies and Environment in a Changing Europe. Palgrave Macmillan, UK, London.

Winikoff, J.B., Parker, D.P. (2023): Farm size, spatial externalities, and wind energy devel-opment. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 106 (4): 1518-1543. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12438.

Wolz, A. (2013): The Organisation of Agricultural Production in East Germany since World War II: Historical Roots and Present Situation. Discussion Paper. Leibniz Institute of Agri-cultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe 139. http://hdl.handle.net/10419/83981.

Wooldridge, J.M. (2010): Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. 2. ed. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.

Zheng, Y., Long, H., Chen, K. (2022): Spatio-temporal patterns and driving mechanism of farmland fragmentation in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. Journal of Geographical Sciences 32 (6): 1020-1038. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-022-1983-8.

Published

2025-08-12

How to Cite

Isenhardt, L., Seifert, S., Wiltfang, T., & Hüttel, S. (2025). Costs of Farmland Fragmentation: Evidence from Farmland Transactions in Eastern Germany. German Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74. https://doi.org/10.52825/gjae.v74i.2537
Received 2024-11-12
Accepted 2025-06-08
Published 2025-08-12